compare
Two strategies, side by side.
Pick any two strategies. See who endorses each, the tier mix of endorsers, the p(doom) distribution, and which people endorse both. Useful for asking are these strategies actually opposed, or does this disagreement live in builders, in policy, or in the public square.
Stance defaults to live engagement: endorses, mixed, conditional, or evolved-toward. These are people who treat the strategy as a live bet of theirs at any time. Opposers are listed separately.
Pause
23 endorsers · 0 opposeHalt frontier training until alignment catches up
expertise mix
recognition mix
profiled
20/23
mean p(doom)
50%
n=9
quotes
36
Existential primacy
76 endorsers · 0 opposeExtinction/disempowerment risk overrides ordinary cost-benefit
expertise mix
recognition mix
profiled
52/76
mean p(doom)
28%
n=11
quotes
110
where the disagreement lives
Tier shares within profiled endorsers. Positive shift means the tier is over-represented in Pause; negative means it's over-represented in Existential primacy.
Pause skews these tiers
- Commentator+20pp
Existential primacy skews these tiers
- Frontier builder+19pp
endorse both (3)
Pause only (20)