AGI Strategies
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Concentration ↑ · institutional

Public AI

Private ownership of frontier AI concentrates decision authority incompatibly with the technology's distributional stakes; public ownership aligns incentives with broad welfare.

Mechanism

Transfer frontier development to state-owned entities, public-benefit corporations, or international public consortia.

Falsification signal

Concentration risks appear inside the public entity, or the public entity lags the private frontier into irrelevance.

A strategy held without a falsification signal is not strategy; it is affiliation. Continued support after this signal lands is identity, not bet. See the identity diagnostic.

People on the record

4

Profiled figures appear first, with their tier in small caps. Each face links to the person and their full quote record. Tag: public-ai.

  • Fei-Fei Li

    Fei-Fei Li

    Deep ML / safety technical · Mass-public recognition

  • Paul Allen

    Paul Allen

    Governance, policy, strategy · Mass-public recognition

  • Mariana Mazzucato

    Mariana Mazzucato

    UCL economist; Entrepreneurial State author

  • Nandan Nilekani

    Nandan Nilekani

    Infosys co-founder; architect of India's Aadhaar digital ID

Coordinates

Primary leverConcentration (Concentrate)
Acts oninstitutional
Coercionstate coercion
Actor in controlhumans
Time horizonpre transition
Legitimacy sourcedemocratic

Conflicts, grouped by mechanism

2

Lever opposition

same lever, opposite pull

The pair's primary lever is the same; they pull it in opposite directions. A portfolio containing both is internally incoherent on that lever.

Distributed builders

Frame opposition

incompatible premises

The strategies accept different premises about what AI is or what the binding problem is. They conflict not on lever choice but on the frame that makes lever choice sensible.

Open source maximalism

Complements, grouped by mechanism

5

Same-side diversification

same side, different lever

Both act on the same side (AI or world) but pull distinct levers. They cover several failure modes on that side while leaving the other side uncovered.

Sovereign wealthAntitrust primacy

Same phase, different layer

same stage, distinct levers

Both are active in the same phase of the transition but act on different layers (model vs institution vs culture). They cover different failure modes inside the same window.

Governance firstDemocratic mandate

Adjacent bet

different levers, loosely coupled

Different levers, different directions of action. They reinforce only via the general principle that covering more bets dominates covering fewer.

Regulated utility

Same-lever twins

2

Both use the same lever in the same direction. Usually redundant inside a portfolio: each dollar or effort unit only buys one lever pull, even if two strategies are named.

Centralised AI projecttwinMilitary primacytwin

Axis position

What the strategy acts onInstitutional
Coercion levelState coercion
Actor in controlHumans as principals
Time horizonPre-transition
Legitimacy sourceDemocratic

Source note: Public AI strategy.md