levers
The levers strategies pull.
A strategy has a primary lever and usually secondary ones. Two strategies combine when their primary levers differ; they conflict when their primary levers coincide and they pull opposite directions. Crowded levers indicate where the field is double-counting; thin levers indicate open space.
Speed
7 strategies · mixedHow fast frontier capability advances.
Concentration
8 strategies · mixedHow many actors build frontier AI.
Control mechanism
9 strategies · ai sideHow AI is kept predictable.
Institutional capacity
11 strategies · world sideWhether state and cross-state institutions can steer the outcome.
Resilience
3 strategies · world sideHow much the world tolerates AI failure.
Scope
10 strategies · ai sideWhich kinds of AI capability are allowed at all.
Action authority
4 strategies · mixedWho (or what) makes binding decisions.
Information flow
4 strategies · mixedWhat gets disclosed, verified, or hidden.
Cooperation substrate
4 strategies · mixedWhether safety runs on AI-AI, human-AI, or human-only coordination.
Time horizon
4 strategies · mixedWhether safety planning looks at current systems, short-term agents, or post-ASI.
Substrate
3 strategies · world sideUpstream physical inputs (compute, energy, data) or downstream substrates (information integrity, literacy).
Value diversity
1 strategy · ai sidePluralism across AI systems' values.
Response capacity
1 strategy · world sideAbility to recover after AI-driven harms.
Legitimacy
4 strategies · world sideDemocratic, religious, or civic authority for any AI path.
Culture
3 strategies · world sidePopulation competence, norms, and demand shaping.