← levers
mixed lever
Time horizon
Whether safety planning looks at current systems, short-term agents, or post-ASI.
↑ Long view
• Neutral
AI skeptic
Time horizon •Current scaling approaches hit a wall before producing transformative AI, so strategy selection is premature because the forecast capability will not arrive.
frame rejectionn a83 on record
Default drift
Time horizon •Something will emerge; specific interventions are more likely wrong than right, so staying uncommitted preserves option value.
non preventiven a
Gradualism
Time horizon •Harms from lower capability AI are informative about harms from higher capability AI, and deployment feedback outperforms fast scaling.
speed timingmarket