AGI Strategies

person

Tamay Besiroglu

Tamay Besiroglu

Co-founder of Epoch AI; scaling-laws researcher

Economist and AI forecaster at Epoch AI, producing the most cited data on compute, dataset scaling, and capability trends. Frames AI trajectory via quantitative compute-and-data forecasts.

current Co-founder, Epoch AI

Profile

expertise

Deep technical

Sustained peer-reviewed contribution to ML, alignment, interpretability, or safety techniques. Could review a frontier paper.

Co-founder of Epoch AI. Empirical scaling and compute trends; published on training compute and AI economics.

recognition

Established

Reliable, recognised voice within their specific subfield. Cited and invited but not central to general AI discourse.

Recognised in AI-economics and forecasting circles.

vintage

Scaling era

Worldview formed during GPT-2/3, scaling laws, Anthropic's founding. Pre-ChatGPT but post-deep-learning. The 'scale is all you need' debate is live.

Co-founded Epoch AI 2022. Empirical scaling-laws work is a scaling-era research programme.

Hand-classified. See the board for the criteria and the full grid.

Strategy positions

Existential primacymixed

Extinction/disempowerment risk overrides ordinary cost-benefit

Publishes empirical compute and dataset forecasts that inform the AI risk debate; takes a measured position himself.

Given current trends in compute and data, transformative AI by 2040 is well within reason.
✍ blogEpoch AI· Epoch AI· 2023· loose paraphrase

Closest strategy neighbours

by jaccard overlap

Other people whose strategy tags overlap with Tamay Besiroglu's. Overlap is on tag identity, not stance; opposites can show up if they reference the same tags.

  • Alan Robock

    Alan Robock

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    Rutgers climate scientist; nuclear winter researcher

  • Andy Jones

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    Anthropic researcher; scaling inference laws

  • Avital Balwit

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    Anthropic communications lead; public-facing AI safety voice

  • Bill McKibben

    Bill McKibben

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    Environmental writer; Middlebury scholar

  • Cade Metz

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    NYT AI reporter; Genius Makers author

  • Clay Graubard

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    Forecaster; RAND and Good Judgment contributor

Record last updated 2026-04-24.