AGI Strategies

person

Tamay Besiroglu

Tamay Besiroglu

Co-founder of Epoch AI; scaling-laws researcher

Economist and AI forecaster at Epoch AI, producing the most cited data on compute, dataset scaling, and capability trends. Frames AI trajectory via quantitative compute-and-data forecasts.

current Co-founder, Epoch AI

Profile

expertise

Deep technical

Sustained peer-reviewed contribution to ML, alignment, interpretability, or safety techniques. Could review a frontier paper.

Co-founder of Epoch AI. Empirical scaling and compute trends; published on training compute and AI economics.

recognition

Established

Reliable, recognised voice within their specific subfield. Cited and invited but not central to general AI discourse.

Recognised in AI-economics and forecasting circles.

vintage

Scaling era

Worldview formed during GPT-2/3, scaling laws, Anthropic's founding. Pre-ChatGPT but post-deep-learning. The 'scale is all you need' debate is live.

Co-founded Epoch AI 2022. Empirical scaling-laws work is a scaling-era research programme.

Hand-classified. See the board for the criteria and the full grid.

Strategy positions

Existential primacymixed

Extinction/disempowerment risk overrides ordinary cost-benefit

Publishes empirical compute and dataset forecasts that inform the AI risk debate; takes a measured position himself.

Given current trends in compute and data, transformative AI by 2040 is well within reason.
blogEpoch AI· Epoch AI· 2023· loose paraphrase

Closest strategy neighbours

by jaccard overlap

Other people whose strategy tags overlap with Tamay Besiroglu's. Overlap is on tag identity, not stance; opposites can show up if they reference the same tags.

  • Alan Robock

    Alan Robock

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    Rutgers climate scientist; nuclear winter researcher

  • Andy Jones

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    Anthropic researcher; scaling inference laws

  • Avital Balwit

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    Anthropic communications lead; public-facing AI safety voice

  • Bill McKibben

    Bill McKibben

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    Environmental writer; Middlebury scholar

  • Cade Metz

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    NYT AI reporter; Genius Makers author

  • Clay Graubard

    shared 1 · J=1.00

    Forecaster; RAND and Good Judgment contributor

Record last updated 2026-04-24.