person

Tamay Besiroglu
Co-founder of Epoch AI; scaling-laws researcher
Economist and AI forecaster at Epoch AI, producing the most cited data on compute, dataset scaling, and capability trends. Frames AI trajectory via quantitative compute-and-data forecasts.
Profile
expertise
Deep technical
Sustained peer-reviewed contribution to ML, alignment, interpretability, or safety techniques. Could review a frontier paper.
Co-founder of Epoch AI. Empirical scaling and compute trends; published on training compute and AI economics.
recognition
Established
Reliable, recognised voice within their specific subfield. Cited and invited but not central to general AI discourse.
Recognised in AI-economics and forecasting circles.
vintage
Scaling era
Worldview formed during GPT-2/3, scaling laws, Anthropic's founding. Pre-ChatGPT but post-deep-learning. The 'scale is all you need' debate is live.
Co-founded Epoch AI 2022. Empirical scaling-laws work is a scaling-era research programme.
Hand-classified. See the board for the criteria and the full grid.
Strategy positions
Existential primacymixed
Extinction/disempowerment risk overrides ordinary cost-benefitPublishes empirical compute and dataset forecasts that inform the AI risk debate; takes a measured position himself.
Given current trends in compute and data, transformative AI by 2040 is well within reason.
Closest strategy neighbours
by jaccard overlapOther people whose strategy tags overlap with Tamay Besiroglu's. Overlap is on tag identity, not stance; opposites can show up if they reference the same tags.
Record last updated 2026-04-24.