Information flow ↑ · population culture

Information integrity first

Coordination requires shared epistemics; if synthetic content collapses factual substrate, no other lever can function because no proposal can be evaluated.

Mechanism

Build cryptographic provenance (C2PA), source authentication, journalism subsidy, epistemic rights, and penalties for unlabelled synthesis.

Falsification signal

Continued political coordination under synthetic saturation, or provenance infrastructure operationalised as surveillance.

A strategy held without a falsification signal is not strategy; it is affiliation. Continued support after this signal lands is identity, not bet. See the identity diagnostic.

Self-undermining threshold

overshoot risk

When provenance is built as universal infrastructure.

Produces surveillance infrastructure the strategy's authoritarian neighbour uses for unrelated ends.

Every strategy has a stable region where it reinforces itself and an unstable region where pursuit defeats it. The threshold between them is usually narrower than advocates acknowledge.

Addresses 2 failure scenarios

all scenarios →

Information ecosystem collapse Accumulative erosion

Coordinates

Primary leverInformation flow (Open)

Acts onpopulation culture

Coercionstate coercion

Actor in controlhumans

Time horizonpre transition

Legitimacy sourcestate

Conflicts, grouped by mechanism

No strict conflicts catalogued. This strategy pulls a lever that nothing else pulls in the opposite direction.

Complements, grouped by mechanism

Same phase, different layer

same stage, distinct levers

Both are active in the same phase of the transition but act on different layers (model vs institution vs culture). They cover different failure modes inside the same window.

Legitimacy firstMass literacyDemocratic mandate

Stage-sequenced

one sets up the other

The pair is phase-offset: one acts before the transition, the other during or after. The first creates the conditions under which the second binds.

Counter AI AI

Shared authority

same legitimacy source

Different levers, same legitimacy source (democratic, state, technical, market). The pair hangs together under one kind of authority; it stands or falls with that authority.

Resilience first

Same-lever twins

Both use the same lever in the same direction. Usually redundant inside a portfolio: each dollar or effort unit only buys one lever pull, even if two strategies are named.

Open source maximalismtwinWhistleblower primacytwin

Axis position

What the strategy acts onPopulation / culture

Coercion levelState coercion

Actor in controlHumans as principals

Time horizonPre-transition

Legitimacy sourceState

Source note: Information integrity first strategy.md