person
Zvi Mowshowitz
Don't Worry About The Vase; weekly AI newsletter
Rationalist writer whose exhaustive weekly AI coverage has become a go-to reference for the AI safety community. Strongly supports a pause and argues current frontier labs cannot be trusted with AGI.
Profile
expertise
Commentator
Engages publicly on AI without specialised technical or domain credentials. Writers, executives commenting outside their lane, public intellectuals.
Magic: The Gathering pro turned AI commentator. Weekly AI roundup is widely read in safety circles. No technical AI training.
recognition
Established
Reliable, recognised voice within their specific subfield. Cited and invited but not central to general AI discourse.
Recognised within rationalist/AI substack readership.
vintage
Scaling era
Worldview formed during GPT-2/3, scaling laws, Anthropic's founding. Pre-ChatGPT but post-deep-learning. The 'scale is all you need' debate is live.
AI weekly roundup begins ~2022 in earnest. Pre-2022 was MtG and rationalist commentary; AI focus is scaling-era.
Hand-classified. See the board for the criteria and the full grid.
p(doom)
- 60%2023-11-28
Tweet reporting Zvi's p(doom) · X/Twitter
Strategy positions
Pauseendorses
Halt frontier training until alignment catches upPublic supporter of pause-style interventions; writes exhaustively on AI policy and industry dynamics.
“p(doom) 60%.”
Closest strategy neighbours
by jaccard overlapOther people whose strategy tags overlap with Zvi Mowshowitz's. Overlap is on tag identity, not stance; opposites can show up if they reference the same tags.
Record last updated 2026-04-24.